It is a race right? So there can be a winner and loser right? The country who spends the most may win, or they may not, the nation that is quite efficient in their expenditures has a greater advantage but may have a smaller market to tax to take action? Any state who enters into an arms race takes the cost to its society, economy and culture. Any country under threat that does not could lose their civilization if it goes to war, and also loses its ability to do hardcore international negotiations, trade deals, etc. which may hurt its treasury and economic vitality. Okay so, let us talk.
There was an interesting article in the Garrett Hardin Society Newsletter titled;”The Tragedy of the Commons” by Garrett Hardin, 1968 which stated:
It is our considered professional judgment that this dilemma has no technical solution. If the great powers continue to search for solutions in the region of science and technology only, the end result will be to worsen the situation.”
These are all good points; and as I write posts and come up with new military concepts, it has occurred to me that as we develop new and more sophisticated weapons our enemies or maybe allies now future enemies later also work to garner those advances and better them. The RAND Corp had many papers on this, many very good, and had played war-game situations, where everybody loses, or even if you win, you actually lose or have such heavy losses it isn’t worth it. When a culture is destroyed, everybody wins. The people that reside there, and the remainder of the international market cleaning up the mess.
During the US Civil War that the North had better bullets that spiraled in flight – more accurate at a greater distance, it wasn’t long before the South had them result more casualties and lost limbs on both sides
If we make unmanned systems to do our bidding, truly autonomous, it will not be long before our possible competitor deploys the same, robots killing humans, and it only takes one unearned ego to pull the first trigger or one megalomaniac fighter to create a no-win political impasse, so what is the word of warning; beware human if playing with fire!
What did Einstein say;
“You Cannot Simultaneously Prepare for and Stop War.”
What did Karl von Clausewitz state:
“Failure to Safeguard Your Nation Will Come at the Expense of Your Civilization.”
I hope you will please consider all of this.